ani ohs gears

Write To Us

HEDTKE INSTITUTE™


Using your Head is the Key


Working Outside of the Box

 operating outside the box


CURRENT HOT TOPICS:
How should this oil disaster be compensated fairly?:
Read about END OF MANKIND:
Read about RED LIGHT RUNNING:
Read about FUEL CONSERVATION:


DO YOU THINK?

If so, you are welcome. 
A little about us...
The Hedtke (pronounced Head Key) Institute was created to bring together
a diverse group of very broad, creative thinkers with practical
intelligence, to develop ideas, solve problems, develop solutions,
envision new technology, and to develop “a strategy
for the future of humanity”.
This systems approach to considering all of the major
issues confronting us on the planet today is the goal
to produce a new set of ideas that could be the seeds
of a conscious evolution of our species to new ways
of thinking, new values and new tools.
Over the length of its existence, many thousands of people
will be included in the interchange of ideas and communication of new concepts.
How do we accomplish this task, when there are so many opinions
and diverse experience?
Simply join us, review a posted problem and then send your solutions.
Perhaps a consensus may not be reached on some things,
however truths are always true no matter who expresses them!
The key to any solution is to use your head...
Well, what do you think, to recoin a phrase?



        At The Hedtke Institute we do scenarios. We think of ways to solve 
        the problems for humanity with solutions and options, for we believe that 
        they are the most effective tool currently available for systematically 
        considering the future. Some of humanity wants to know about the future 
        of their marketplace, or a major contributing factor to their operating 
        environment, like technology. Others are concerned about possible big 
        events - surprises - that might occur unexpectedly and fundamentally 
        shift the status quo. Perhaps the concern is a specific location, or 
        the consideration of the purchase of a major asset and want to have 
        a sense of what might change the present situation that makes 
        that a good decision -- all of these are good candidates for scenario 
        planning. Scenarios can also be used as the basis for developing an 
        organizational vision - a plan - a particularly powerful role.
        Join us by posting your solution, brevity and simplicity are encouraged.
        Your solution will have your byline attached to provide you appropriate
        credit and recognition.  This venue is for budding thinkers as well as
        gifted sages alike! 
        
        People attempt to think about the future in quite a variety 
        of ways. Some try to predict what might happen. Others make forecasts 
        or projections. Some extrapolate trends. But all of these approaches have 
        fundamental flaws: it is NOT impossible to predict the future 
        (however, it is difficult to do at least to some extent at this time). 
        One can go to the fundamental mathematics of the situation and find 
        that in highly complex situations, a very minor change in the initial 
        conditions (or of some element during the evolving process) will 
        result in major shifts in the end point. Therefore, it is essentially 
        impossible to identify and catalog the relationships of all of the 
        potential contributing factors at any one time, so similarly, it is 
        extremely difficult to anticipate the future that will arrive with 
        any level of confidence.

        So what do you do if you want to methodically look at the future? 
        Right now, the best answer is scenarios - rigorously designed 
        mental images of the most significant likely possibilities that might 
        evolve, developed around specific issues that are most important to you 
        or your organization. This process, if done well, will essentially produce 
        a spectrum of plausible futures that effectively brackets the horizon. 
        You will be able to see most, if not all, of the likely big possible 
        situations. 

        Thus armed, the effective strategist can then begin to consider the 
        potential implications of each future world, and begin to put into 
        place the contingency plans for dealing with both the opportunities 
        and hazards that might arrive. This alone is usually worth the effort, 
        for it quickly illuminates one’s perspective and immediately 
        provides a larger, sophisticated, future-oriented context for evaluating 
        day-to-day events. News stories are suddenly seen in a different light 
        - as possible contributing factors for one or more plausible futures.

        As is the case in other disciplines as well, a large amount of the 
        value of scenario building takes place in the process rather than the 
        product. That is, in the consideration of a perspective of what might 
        happen, one methodically identifies and confronts the majority of the 
        active players that influence the life of an organization and considers 
        what the roles and potential impact are for each of them as they interact 
        with all of the others. Changes in government regulation, international 
        economic health, technological breakthroughs, social value shifts, even
        the very reporting of manufactured news, the environmental and 
        population pressures - all are considered at the same time. That is 
        something most of us don’t get a chance to do very often, so it 
        is guaranteed to be loaded with insight. 

        Again, since you may actually predict the future, in a limited capacity, 
        it is unlikely that any of the scenarios will evolve in quite the form 
        that was considered. What will actually happen is some of one future 
        and part of another... but having considered all of the possibilities 
        before the fact, the effective scenarist will immediately recognize 
        the evolving future in terms that are familiar and significant. The 
        future has order when seen in this way. It is not just a random 
        emergence of events. 

        Perhaps the most powerful scenario is creating the desired future. 
        After completing the process of developing an initial set of 
        scenarios the strategist can look across the spectrum of possible 
        futures and begin to develop an image of the future that is 
        particularly desired. This future can be methodically designed 
        and shaped to an organization’s specific capabilities and 
        resources and therefore become a very pivotal device for helping 
        individuals to “see” what they can become. This story of 
        the future puts a face on an otherwise abstract set of objectives. 
        Instead of simply having a goal of say, a sustainable economy, 
        a good scenario paints the picture of what a world would look 
        like that was truly sustainable - what the players would do, 
        what would be the results, etc. These images can be communicated, 
        of course, using video, film, and multimedia.

        A well-crafted scenario allows participants to become proactive, 
        working specifically for the desired future, rather than sitting 
        by and passively waiting for what ever the world delivers. 
        It is a tool for allowing individuals and organizations to “create 
        their own future,” a perspective that is often an epiphany for the 
        participants.  Are you ready to participate?  Email us or submit
        your solutions to the posted problems.  Thank you in advance!
******************This is where text goes*********************

POSTED PROBLEMS


POSTED PROBLEMS


We invite you to comment upon these posted problems,
present your ideas and or suggested solutions
please send them to us via email and we will post
a synopsis of your idea, with your byline!

BookMark This Site Now BookMark Me!

...
We are grateful to Stormynites for their help
with our Organization and encourage you to Promote Stormynites™ Too!


Learn How To
(No Spam)




Stormynites™
Go to Stormynites™ Main Page


 legal disclaimer and copyright

Created using Note Pad by Stormy™

Designed by:

Stormynites WebTechs™

Stormy™


Page under Construction,
Page Under Construction

--->End of Line<---